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Clawfish without licensing va12/2/2023 ![]() ![]() If you prefer SIERA, which is more predictive than FIP, it doesn’t get much better, as France’s 4.85 mark is better than only nine other starters. France overtakes Berríos in ERA and xFIP differential. Since his debut on May 6, only two qualified starters have a higher differential between their ERA and FIP (1.47) than the rookie right-hander (Nathan Eovaldi and José Berríos). ![]() If the quality of contact against him improves, or even if his BABIP regresses, it could lead to a downtrend in his overall numbers. The Astros’ rookie is, in fact, only one of two pitchers in baseball with a sub-3.00 ERA and a swinging strike rate lower than 10%. Using the same qualifier as earlier - at least 80 innings pitched - France’s 9.1% swinging strike rate is better than only 19 pitchers. But France has less margin for error than most pitchers simply due to a lack of swing-and-miss material. He also does a decent job about limiting hard contact - 67th percentile - and barrels aren’t a particular issue. Thus far, he has done a decent enough job in limiting home runs, and his wOBACON and xwOBACON are among the best out of all qualified pitchers. 357 ( 15th among qualified pitchers )įrance’s continued success will likely hinge on the quality of contact he surrenders. But his BABIP and the quality of contact on batted balls, or lack thereof, have been a major aspect of France’s success. He also strands a high percentage (81.1%) of baserunners. A healthy enough 44.7% ground ball rate certainly helps along with keeping the ball in the park. ![]() While the right-hander doesn’t strike out many batters (16.7%), he also doesn’t allow that many walks (6.9%). I certainly didn’t have this development on my bingo card for 2023.įrance’s success this season derives from a combination of factors. But in a season fraught with injury and inconsistency, France has become that stable presence in a rotation since his debut in early May. That’s great! Could you imagine where this Astros’ staff would be without France? It wouldn’t be pretty, especially if Framber Valdez’s recent skid continues. At least six innings in all but one start since June 4. If you limit your view since the start of June, a 2.34 ERA in 57 2⁄ 3 innings. France pitch because a 2.87 ERA in 84 2⁄ 3 innings is worthy of applause. I keep reminding myself lately that results are the results whenever I watch J.P. ![]()
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